Working The Seam: Week 8

Updated: Oct 24, 2019

The purpose of this article is to bring you a more in depth look at the core WR plays around the industry for the upcoming week. We will cover the best & worst match ups, noteworthy trends, & value plays for the week.

(If there is anything you would like added to these articles in the future please leave a comment down below!)

Best Matchups

DeAndre Hopkins – Nuk week finally happened! But of course it was the week where everything else went into disarray. Well, let’s hope everything else falls into place this week because I think we are going to see Nuk go off once again. He’s had 8 or more targets in all games this season & is averaging 11.5 in the last 2 games. Per PFF, the rookie out of Clemson, Trayvon Mullen, is the corner who is going to be tasked with covering Hopkins. Mullen hasn’t seen much action this season. Only 5 targets have gone his way this season but 4 have been caught. I expect Mullen to see a lot more targets this weekend than he is used to, especially since Fuller’s absence will likely funnel even more targets to Hopkins.

Kenny Golladay – He is set up to bounce back big this week after Marvin Jones stole all of his looks this past weekend. Golladay only saw 2 targets this weekend compared to Jones 13, but Golladay still leads the team in Target Share by a wide margin. Golladay a 28% Target Share which ranks 6th in the NFL. The Giants as a team rank inside the top 10 in points allowed to opposing WRs. Per PFF, Golladay has the #1 WR vs. CB advantage this week as he is expected to be lined up against DeAndre Baker. Baker is allowing an absurd 72.7% catch rate along with 17 Y/REC. It also helps that Golladay has 30 pounds and 5 inches on Golladay while running a 40 time that is a hair faster than Baker (4.5 vs. 4.52). Let’s hope Stafford looks Golladay’s way this weekend instead of Jones’.

Courtland Sutton – He was already outperforming Sanders as the 1B in the passing game, but now with Sanders out of town he is the de facto number one. Sutton has been averaging nearly 7 targets a game this season (6.85), and will likely see that number climb going forward too. Sutton has been one of the best this season at securing the football. He has caught 75% of the passes thrown his way and has converted 564 of the 618 (91%) of his air yards. He is projected to be shadowed by Pierre Desir, and he’s coming off 2 consecutive rough weeks. Over the last 2 weeks, Desir has allowed 13 receptions, 213 yards & 1 TD. Look for Sutton to take advantage of the slumping Desir.

Keke Coutee – Just like Hopkins, Coutee should have no problem putting up numbers if the ball is thrown his way this weekend as OAK is #3 in points allowed to opposing WRs (42.8). Coutee is going to be covered by one of the worst slot corners in the NFL this season, Lamarcus Joyner. Joyner hasn’t been able to stop anyone as he is allowing an 80.6(!!!) completion percentage on 36 targets (6 targets/game). Joyner’s coverage rating per PFF is an atrocious 33.7, ranking him 170 out of 179 eligible corners.

John Brown – One of the juiciest matchups on the slate as he goes up against the Eagles secondary who rank #1 in points allowed to opposing WRs. The Eagles are actually good against slot WRs as they allow the secon