Working The Seam: Week 12



The purpose of this article is to bring you a more in depth look at the core WR plays around the industry for the upcoming week. We will cover the best & worst match ups, noteworthy trends, & value plays for the week.


(If there is anything you would like added to these articles in the future please leave a comment down below!)



Best Matchups


D.J. Moore - If there is anyone in the league who is due for POSITIVE regression, it’s this guy right here. D.J. has been getting peppered with targets at an alarming rate, but only has 1 TD on the season to show for it. Moore leads the NFL in most targets (94) while having one or fewer TDs. Since Week 8, Moore has seen a total of 45 targets (11.25 P/G) which leads the NFL. This is the week where everything should click for him especially if Lattimore remains out for the Saints. P.J. Williams will likely have to shadow Moore, and Williams’ coverage grade ranks 92nd out of 127 qualified CBs with a grade of 54.0. Williams is allowing a completion % of 64.9% on the season and is no stranger to chunk plays. He’s allowed a play of 20+ yards in 4 out of the 9 games he’s played in this season. With CAR as +9.5 underdogs, they’ll likely find themselves throwing a lot in this game and Moore should be the primary beneficiary.


Chris Godwin - He finds himself in what is likely to be the chalkiest game of the week and it’s for a good reason. TB traveling to ATL to play indoors has Vegas setting the total of this game at 51 (only game in the 50s this weekend) and it wouldn’t surprise me to see the over here. Two suspect pass defenses facing QBs who can air it out with elite weapons on the outside? Who doesn’t want a part of this game? Anyways, Godwin’s 1v1 matchup this weekend is projected to be against Kendall Sheffield. Sheffield hasn’t been tasked with covering good WRs very often this season, but when he has those WRs have gotten the best of him. Hopkins ⅔ for 52 yds, Robert Woods 6/9 for 86 yds, & Lockett 5/5 for 85 yds. I expect & his 23% target share to go off against Sheffield.


Mike Evans - Godwin’s counterpart, Evans, has just as good of a matchup, if not, maybe even a little better. Evans is going up against our favorite cornerback to pick on, Isiah Oliver. Oliver has been smoked by everyone who has lined up against him this season as