When it gets down to a 2 Game Slate, you have to really get into every minor detail to try to find that edge that can propel you over a crowded field. Because of this, I asked Nick to dive into specific matchups and overall spots. Here are the awesome notes he got back to me with:
Chiefs are more susceptible to slot WRs than outside WRs. Their respective ranks against outside WRs in FPPG this season were:
Left WRs = #30 (7.8), Right WRs = #32 (7.5), Slot WRs = #15 (19.2).
However, AJ Brown who lines up outside and primarily on the left side of the field has the #1 ranked matchup of the weekend as he goes up against Bashaud Breeland who has the worst PFF grade of all corners on this slate (43.9). FWIW, Brown has 30 pounds on Breeland and his 40 yd dash time is significantly faster than Breeland (4.49 vs. 4.62). Brown has only seen 1 & 2 targets over the last 2 games but that’s because Tannehill hasn’t been throwing the ball. If game script actually goes the way we expect, Tannehill should be throwing more and when he does he will likely look Brown’s way.
Back to the Chiefs being more susceptible in the slot, the Titans move all their WRs around and they all see time in the slot. However, Tajae Sharpe has narrowly edged out Corey Davis in terms of slot % (29% vs 27%). has been the Titans slot WR as of late. Kendall Fuller is responsible for covering the slot for the Chiefs and he hasn’t been good this season as evidenced by his (55.3) PFF grade.
TEN has been roasted in the slot this season as they were #5 in FPPG allowed to slot WRs. Similar to TEN, KC shuffles where their WRs lineup. Tyreek lines up in the slot 54% of the time and Watkins lines up there 56% of the time. Despite how disappointing Watkins has been, there’s a chance for production here. Logan Ryan who has a below-average PFF grade of 63 is slated to cover Watkins.