MLB Takeoff Preview 7/19



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Kevin Gausman: Kevin Gausman was scratched from his last start on Friday and placed on the family medical emergency list but will be activated to start Monday's game against the Dodgers. Kicking off a huge four-game set with NL West division rivals on the road in Chavez Ravine, the Giants will turn to their ace to make his first start of the second half. The 30-year-old right-hander is having a career year after accepting the qualifying offer last winter as he enters play at 9-3 with a sparkling 1.73 ERA, .214 wOBA, and 30.5% K rate. The Dodgers are coming off a series at Coors Field, and their best hitter, Mookie Betts, is red hot entering play tonight, but as the old cliche goes, good pitching beats good hitting every time. With the injuries to deGrom, you could make the case Gausman should've started the All-Star Game for the NL and was the most consistent pitcher in the National League in the first half. The Dodgers are tough on RHP with a .175 ISO, .338 wOBA, 115 wRC+, and just a 22.4% K rate. POWN% in the single digits tonight with this tough matchup, but Gausman is by far my favorite all-around play this evening and could be the difference in taking down a GPP.


Yu Darvish: The Padres will activate RHP Yu Darvish from the IL to start Monday's game in Truist Park against the Braves. Darvish indicated he's back to one hundred percent health and ready to go following the stint on the injured list with hip inflammation. Darvish is a better play on DraftKings tonight as he comes in with a salary that is $2K cheaper than his $11.2K price tag over on FanDuel but carries some risk facing a Braves team with a .186 ISO vs. RHP on the season plus the re-injury concern with this being his first start back. Darvish enters play at 7-3 with a 3.09 on the season to go with a 29.8% K rate, 5.7% BB rate, .276 xwOBA, and a 38% HH rate. The Braves matchup will prove to be a difficult one even without the likes of Ronald Acuna as new addition Joc Pederson already made his presence felt with a homer over the weekend. Darvish is currently picking up the most projected ownership. The issue here is the pending weather in Atlanta tonight that you'll want to follow leading up to lock this evening but the current outlook isn't great with rain in the area all night and a PPD very much on the table.