MLB Takeoff 9/8: Noche De Sixto!


Note: The Boogie Factor has officially been launched. I want to give you a better understanding about this metric. It's something that we've been working on since the end of 2019 season. It's a metric that takes every single factor into account. We are talking about EVERYTHING. Exit velocity, Average batted ball distance, weather, stadium, air density, expected wOBA, not only ISO, but expected weighted ISOs, K%, matchup, XwOBA, XFIP, Money Lines, Oddsmakers expectations, etc. There isn't one category that will be unaccounted for. The only * I would put for now, is give it time to soak in a larger 2020 sample and we should be seeing amazing results for the rest of the season.


Primary Arms


W.Buehler: He's finally pitched like the ace we know & love over his last 2 starts putting together a stat line of 11 innings, 17 K's, & allowing only 1 ER. The only concern I have with Buehler tonight is the same one we've had all year, the pitch count, as he's only completed the 6th inning 1 time in his 6 starts. Now, for his opponent he should be able to cruise against the D'Backs tonight as they have struggled mightily as of late. D'Backs have a team RISO .160 & a low IRT of 3.6 on the night.


M.Clevinger: His first start with the Padres was encouraging if you look at one side of the box score when you see that he went 6 innings & allowed only 2 ER. What was discouraging about his outing was that he only compiled 2 strikeouts but it was against the Angels who are on of the league's best teams when it comes to K's. Tonight against Colorado I like his chances to pick up some K's again as the Rockies are starting 5 bats with K rates north of 20%, & it also helps that they have the lowest IRT of the night at 3.4.


Secondary Arms


A.Heaney: Heaney has pitched like an ACE over his last 2 starts going at least 7 innings in each, allowing only 1 ER over both starts combined, & has struck out 16 hitters over that span. There's a great chance he continues this hot streak tonight against the Rangers who we love to pick on when t