MLB Takeoff 9/21: The Final Countdown


Note: The Boogie Factor has officially been launched. I want to give you a better understanding about this metric. It's something that we've been working on since the end of 2019 season. It's a metric that takes every single factor into account. We are talking about EVERYTHING. Exit velocity, Average batted ball distance, weather, stadium, air density, expected wOBA, not only ISO, but expected weighted ISOs, K%, matchup, XwOBA, XFIP, Money Lines, Oddsmakers expectations, etc. There isn't one category that will be unaccounted for. The only * I would put for now, is give it time to soak in a larger 2020 sample and we should be seeing amazing results for the rest of the season.


If you have been riding with us throughout this entire MLB season, I want to sincerely thank you for sticking with us & giving us a shot. In the blink of an eye we have already approached the last week of the season. Lets close out this MLB season out with a BANG!


Tonight's slate is going to be a bit different on both sites. We are getting a 6 gamer on FD vs. an 8 gamer on DK. DK will be including the CIN/MIL & NYY/TOR games.


Primary Arms


J.DeGrom: Had his worst start of the season his last time out against PHI when he only pitched 2 innings & allowed 3 ER. The reason for the poor outing? DeGrom suffered a hamstring injury in the midst of his outing. All reports since that start have been positive so I am treating DeGrom tonight as if all is well. On the season DeGrom owns a xFIP 2.73 & a silly K% of 36.4%. Tonight, he goes up against the Rays who own a K% vs. RHP of 24.2% & have an IRT of 3.


L.Castillo (DK ONLY): Unlike DeGrom who is coming off of his worst start of the season, Castillo is coming off of his best. In his last start against the Cardinals, he threw a complete game allowing only 2 hits, 1 ER, & striking out 6. Tonight he faces the Brewers who he dominated his first time against them when he threw 6 IP, 1 ER, & 9 K's.