MLB Takeoff 9/16: New York, New York


Note: The Boogie Factor has officially been launched. I want to give you a better understanding about this metric. It's something that we've been working on since the end of 2019 season. It's a metric that takes every single factor into account. We are talking about EVERYTHING. Exit velocity, Average batted ball distance, weather, stadium, air density, expected wOBA, not only ISO, but expected weighted ISOs, K%, matchup, XwOBA, XFIP, Money Lines, Oddsmakers expectations, etc. There isn't one category that will be unaccounted for. The only * I would put for now, is give it time to soak in a larger 2020 sample and we should be seeing amazing results for the rest of the season.


Primary Arms


J.DeGrom: For the 3rd year in a row DeGrom is making his case as the best pitcher in the MLB, & most definitely in the National League. He leads all NL starters with allowing the least amount of ER on the season as he has only allowed 10. Through 9 starts DeGrom is leading the CY Young race with these impeccable stats: 1.67 ERA, 54 IP, 34 H, 13 BB, 79 Ks. Tonight he faces the Phillies who he just dominated his last time out against them a week ago when he went 7 IP, 12 K's, & only 1 ER.


G.Cole: On fire over his last 2 starts where he's thrown 13 innings, racked up 19 K's, & has allowed only 1 ER. I'm expecting Cole to continue to roll tonight against the young Blue Jays bats who only have a team RISO of .145 & the second lowest IRT tonight just ahead of the Phillies at 3.4.


Secondary Arms


L.Giolito: He's been nothing short of awesome this season. He owns a K% of 34.2% & has a very low ISO to both sides of the plate (LISO .109; RISO .082). However, tonight he runs into a healthy Twins team that he will be facing for the 3rd time this season & the wind is expected to be very hitter friendly with the wind blowing out to CF at 10 MPH. Would I roster Giolito tonight as he is likely to draw low ownership because of the 2 studs above? Absolutely, but I'd be playing it based off of where the field comes in.