MLB Takeoff 9/1: Pitching is a Wasteland


Note: The Boogie Factor has officially been launched. I want to give you a better understanding about this metric. It's something that we've been working on since the end of 2019 season. It's a metric that takes every single factor into account. We are talking about EVERYTHING. Exit velocity, Average batted ball distance, weather, stadium, air density, expected wOBA, not only ISO, but expected weighted ISOs, K%, matchup, XwOBA, XFIP, Money Lines, Oddsmakers expectations, etc. There isn't one category that will be unaccounted for. The only * I would put for now, is give it time to soak in a larger 2020 sample and we should be seeing amazing results for the rest of the season.


**We're gearing up for our first 2020 podcast coming soon! (sorry for the delay, just waiting on a shipment to come in). We'll be collecting any questions you may have until then. Here is the place to drop in your questions https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSep3xAZ_gDFKiUmkilpPfBSymkRnc5Gr8jEUZ1oZgfJ-o2w6w/viewform?usp=sf_link



Primary Arms


A.Nola: Although tonight's slate isn't filled with aces, we at least have one who stands above the rest. On the season Nola owns a 34.8% K rate, 2.15 xFIP, & is doing an excellent job keeping the ball in the ballpark (LISO .130; RISO .183) thanks to his dazzling FB rate (24.6%). Tonight he faces the Nats (3.8 IRT) for the 2nd time in a row. If Nola can repeat an outing similar to his last time out against them (7 IP, 8 K, 2 ER) we are in for a good night.


F.Valdes: He's broken out all over the place in 2020. He's lowered his BB% to a very solid 5.8%, raised his K% to 26%, owns an xFIP of 2.92, & is giving up FB's at a 17% rate! I'm hoping he isn't the chalk tonight because his matchup is perfect against the Rangers who struggle vs. LHP & have the 2nd lowest IRT on the slate tonight (3.4). On DK it's laughable how mispriced he is at 8.1K.