MLB Takeoff 8/26: Run It Back


Note: The Boogie Factor has officially been launched. I want to give you a better understanding about this metric. It's something that we've been working on since the end of 2019 season. It's a metric that takes every single factor into account. We are talking about EVERYTHING. Exit velocity, Average batted ball distance, weather, stadium, air density, expected wOBA, not only ISO, but expected weighted ISOs, K%, matchup, XwOBA, XFIP, Money Lines, Oddsmakers expectations, etc. There isn't one category that will be unaccounted for. The only * I would put for now, is give it time to soak in a larger 2020 sample and we should be seeing amazing results for the rest of the season.


**We're gearing up for our first 2020 podcast coming soon! (sorry for the delay, just waiting on a shipment to come in). We'll be collecting any questions you may have until then. Here is the place to drop in your questions https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSep3xAZ_gDFKiUmkilpPfBSymkRnc5Gr8jEUZ1oZgfJ-o2w6w/viewform?usp=sf_link



Primary Arms


S.Gray: Checking in #1 on the BF (18.78) tonight is our boy, Sonny. He's gotten off to a rocking start this year owning a K% of 30% & doing a great job of limiting power (LISO .132; RISO .121) in large part to his fantastic GB/FB rates (GB% 50.8%; FB 29.3%). Tonight he takes on the Brewers who have struggled all season long & own a K rate of 24.8% vs. RHP. On FD Gray is fairly priced at 10.2K, but on DK he is a STEAL at only 8.8K.



D.Lamet: Paddack disappointed us yesterday vs. the weak Mariners team, but the good news is Lamet is a much better pitcher than Paddack. On the season Lamet owns an insane 34.1% K rate, gives up little power (LISO .099; RISO .133), but has been prone to giving up flyballs (45.8%). His FB% doesn't worry me tonight against these Mariners who have a team FB% of 34.4% & an RISO of .159. I'll be having plenty of Lamet in my lineups tonight.