MLB Takeoff 7/11 Preview



Primary Arms


Brandon Woodruff: Woodruff checks in as the No. 1 pitcher on today's slate in terms of salary across both sites and ceiling, but he's also picking up the most ownership by a fair margin over 40 POWN%. While the matchup against the Reds on paper is a difficult one (.175 ISO, .334 wOBA, 107 wRC+), Cincinnati owns an implied run total of just 3.15 for today's game suggesting Vegas likes Woody's chances to thrive in this spot. Woodruff has had a stellar season w/ a 7-4 record, 2.10 ERA, 30.7% K rate, 32.4% HH rate, and a .214 wOBA. He'll look to put an exclamation point on his first half in this big NL Central showdown this afternoon and help the Brew Crew pick up a win over the Reds.


Pablo Lopez: Lopez has been an ace all season, except for in these head-to-head spots against the Braves and last time out was tossed after just a single pitch. The Braves will be without Ronald Acuna for the remainder of the season after he tore his ACL last night. A lineup that was in the NLCS last year now possesses just three formidable hitters in Freeman, Albies, and Riley while the rest are replacement level and fill-ins for the injured guys. I'm very interested in getting to Pablo Lopez as my SP2 over on DraftKings with his low salary of $7.3K. The Braves strike out at the fifth-highest rate in the National League (25.1%) which bodes well for the Marlins right-hander who owns a 26.6% K rate and averages more than 10 strikeouts per nine. Lopez has a 2.94 ERA, 33.3% HH rate, and 6% walk rate, showcasing his elite stuff this season and the super value he owns at his price in this matchup today. Ownership has climbed to the point where I'm moving him up from a GPP target to a primary arm behind Woodruff.

Secondary Arms


Ian Anderson: Anderson checks in with a plus matchup against Miami on the road, but the Braves will have to move forward for the rest of the season without their star player, Ronald Acuna Jr. The young right-hander for the Braves is picking up the second most ownership on FanDuel for this afternoon's slate and third-most on DraftKings over 20 POWN%. The Marlins strike out at a 25.7% clip vs. RHP w/ just a .135 ISO and 88 wRC+. Anderson doesn't have a high strikeout rate like some of the other arms priced around