• Kevin Hickey

MLB Takeoff 6/25 Preview

Primary Arms

Carlos Rodon: Rodon stands head and shoulders above other pitchers on today's slate. Where do we even start? Perhaps mentioning that Rodon threw a no-hitter in April? Or maybe the fact he's carried no-hitters into the 5th inning or later in each of his last two outings? Then again, it could be his 37.16 K%, 8.43% Hard-hit rate, 2.44 xERA, 1.63 SIERA, or 0.11 ISO that first pops off his resume. It seems the deeper we dig into Rodon's season, the better he looks. In 12 starts, Rodon has only surrendered >1 earned run TWICE, and only ONCE has he registered fewer than 7 K's, including an ongoing 8+ strikeout streak dating back to May 15th. It's been a season-long ace performance from Carlos and there's little concern the Seattle Mariners will slow him down. On the season, the Mariners rank 21st in the league with 4.00 runs per game, 29th with a .664 OPS, and they strikeout at the 7th-highest rate in the majors. It's not as if they hit LHP any better either, their two scariest bats, Haniger and Seager have struggled mightily against lefties. J.P. Crawford loves LHP, but his .361 xSLG just materializes as an afterthought here. The only factors working against Carlos today are his 41% projected ownership and the weather. There's a chance that rain that could lead to a delay or other issues, so it will be worth monitoring as first pitches inches closer.

Secondary Arms

Framber Valdez: Framber is a borderline primary arm today, but Carlos seemed like he needed a category of his own. Since coming off the IL, Framber has put up some impressive numbers, headlined by a minuscule 4.90% Hard-hit rate. He brings other respectable stats too, including a 23.53 K%, 0.24 wOBA, and a 0.07 ISO. It's only a 5-game sample size, so I wouldn't get too excited. In general, his stats are all solid, but his...

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GPP Pivots/ Punt Arms


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