DFS Workshop: How to Review Yesterday in Order to Win Today

“If you want to understand today, you have to search yesterday.” – Pearl Buck

It’s never fun going back and reviewing slates that didn’t go your way. In a sport like baseball, it’s easy to chalk it up to variance / lousy luck and carry on. While the nature of Daily Fantasy behooves the typical DFS player to have a short memory, that doesn’t mean we should pass up on opportunities to better our game.

It took me well over a year (filled with a substantial amount of trial & error) before I found what is commonly referred to as a “sweet spot.” While I’m nowhere near perfect, I’ve settled into a routine that seems to be the most optimal when factoring in all the variables in my day-to-day life. When I first launched Daily Boogie, I can’t even begin to explain just how inefficient my DFS process actually was. Now don’t get me wrong, 8 Live Final Seats (5 MLB & 3 NFL) in my first year playing Qualifiers + the absolute thrill of taking down two $50,000 1st Place GPPs in a 48 hour window was well worth all the sleepless nights I encountered.

Reviewing slates like the one that just passed is beneficial on several fronts. It’s one thing when you don’t really have a grasp on a given slate and are just throwing a couple of lineups to see if you happen to hit the nuts by chance. It’s a whole different ballgame when you were extremely confident and spent 8+ hours researching and perfecting your plan if attack. Because I felt so confident about my overall grasp of the situation, I’m intrigued to see what actually went wrong. Was it truly just some fluke results, or did I miss something along the way?

Right off the bat, I see something sticking out like a sore thumb (that is a corny expression, sorry), the majority of my lineups have $2000+ leftover in cap space. That is never a good sign. One of the most significant issues I ran into was when NC decided to give Eui Yang (NC Catcher) and his $6000+ salary in a position that was already thin, the night off. NC’s backup catcher was priced near the minimum of $2000 (aka 1/3 the price of Yang) and severely hindered the upside of my NC Stacks. Usually, when this has occurred in the past, I turn to the (BPA) Best Player Available Method. Almost always, that meant adjusting my 5 man NC Stack to a 4 man + Dong Won Park. This exact move led me to victory and helped me take down the $25,000 1st Place GPP Prize a few weeks back. Of course, Dong wasn’t an option here. The next BPA happened to be LG’s Yoo, who was already chalky to begin with, was now likely to be the #1 recipient of Yang’s ownership. (That thought process was correct, he was owned nearly 50% in some contests).

Going back to what was my highest owned stack in KIW, Dong Won Park’s absence wasn’t the only thing that ruined their upside, they also decided to give ByungHo Park the day off. (Weeeeee) Once again, I was stuck between a rock and a hard place. I either had to pivot to BPA and destroy my 5 Man KIW Stacks that were perfectly correlated and ready to roll or alter my roster construction on the fly with 11 minutes till lock. For whatever reason, KIW decided to take their time and didn’t release their starting lineup until 20 minutes to lock. It was confirmed that D and B Park were out with around 5:10 AM ET.

Now on to my favorite sleeper stack in KT. The Wiz also decided that there was no need to tell the public that their cleanup hitter, Baek Ho Kang, aka King Kong reincarnated, was injured. They decided to let the world know 39 minutes before first pitch. How can it get worse, you ask? Well, he ended up pinch-hitting and launched a homer that might’ve left the stadium altogether.

Check this video out. https://twitter.com/MyKBO/status/1273265779769667587?s=20